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FLY
$33.45-2.74 (-7.56%)
After Hours$33.12-0.33 (-0.97%)· Last close Jun 9
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Historical Price
Price (Candle)
50-Day SMA
200-Day SMA
Whystock Brain
The Narrative
Firefly Aerospace Inc. in the Industrials sector is trading at $33.45 with a market capitalization of $6.5B. Wall Street consensus targets $48.00 (8 analysts), implying a +43.5% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently 55% below its 52-week high of $73.80, remaining 11.0% above its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 4/9 shows mixed financial quality, Altman Z in the safe zone. The Whystock Score of 85/100 reflects bullish alignment across trend, valuation and analyst targets.
Ecosystem Influences
Sell-side targets imply +43.5% upside over 12 months
Long-term trend bullish (price vs 200-day SMA)
Macro-economic sensitivity to interest rate and inflation shifts
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Peer Comparison
Whystock Valuation Model
Anchored to each ticker's own 5-year median trailing P/E, tilted by current ROE and growth. Fair P/E = own median P/E + (ROE × 10) + (max(revenue growth, earnings growth) × 15), capped at ±30% around the historical anchor. Fair Value = (Current Price ÷ Trailing P/E) × Fair P/E. Premium compounders like COST/MSFT are judged against their own multi-year norm rather than a sector median. Falls back to the sector-anchored formula (Tech ≈ 28, Comm Services ≈ 24, Utilities ≈ 18, Financials ≈ 14, etc.) for recent IPOs and tickers with insufficient history (< 24 monthly samples). Result is a normalised multiple gauge — not a price target.
Current Price$33.45
Potential Downside
0%
Whystock Fair Value$33.45
Price
UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Simplified model based on P/E and ROE. Not a substitute for full valuation analysis. Data may be delayed. See our Terms.
Analyst Consensus8 analysts
Buy
Mean target$48.00+43.5%
Range$35.00 – $65.00
Fundamentals
Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers. The company offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed...
Market Cap
Total dollar market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock (Price * Shares).
$6.53B
P/E Ratio
Priced for growth. Investors expect sustained double-digit expansion.
-
Beta
High-beta play. Expect amplified moves vs. the broad market.
-
Div Yield
Low to zero yield. Return is entirely dependent on price appreciation.
0.00%
ROE
Average efficiency. Growth may require heavy reinvestment.
-30.31%
Volume
Today's trading volume
6.31M
Recent News
Boeing vs. Firefly Aerospace: Which Aerospace Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
One company posts a sharp rebound in revenue, while the other races ahead with triple-digit growth, but both face steep risks and valuation hurdles in 2026.
RKLB, LUNR, RDW Jump Premarket As Musk Pitches AI Satellites, Orbital Data Centers — Analyst Says The Odds Are Just 7%
Morningstar said SpaceX's bull-case "Moonshot" scenario, involving successful orbital data centers and AI satellites, has only a 7% chance of materializing.
EXCLUSIVE: Space Force Wants Speed — Firefly Says It Can Launch Critical Missions With Just 24 Hours' Notice
For decades, space launches were planned months—sometimes years—in advance. But a growing number of defense customers are now asking a different question: What if a critical satellite needs to reach orbit tomorrow? According to Firefly Aerospace Inc. CEO Jason Kim,...
RKLB, LUNR, FLY, SIDU Reverse Losses Overnight: Jamie Dimon Takes SpaceX IPO Pitch To 2,500 Wealthy Clients This Week
Dimon's investor push comes as SpaceX expands access to its IPO beyond traditional Wall Street buyers and into the retail market.
Is It Too Late To Consider Firefly Aerospace (FLY) After Its 86% Year To Date Surge?
If you are wondering whether Firefly Aerospace at US$44.24 is priced attractively or already baking in a lot of optimism, the valuation story is the key area to focus on. The share price is up 86.2% year to date and 30.9% over the last month, although it has declined 10.6% over the past week. This can affect how much risk or opportunity you see at current levels. Recent coverage of Firefly Aerospace has centred on its position within the space and defense sector and the attention that comes...