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FOSL
$4.25+0.21 (+5.20%)
Market OpenUpdated 3:42 PM EDT
Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Historical Price
Price (Candle)
50-Day SMA
200-Day SMA
Whystock Brain
The Narrative
Fossil Group, Inc. in the Consumer Cyclical sector is trading at $4.25 with a market capitalization of $237M. Wall Street consensus targets $7.00 (2 analysts), implying a +64.7% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently 26% below its 52-week high of $5.75, remaining 17.1% above its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 3/9 flags weak fundamentals, Altman Z in the distress zone. The Whystock Score of 70/100 reflects bullish alignment across trend, valuation and analyst targets.
Ecosystem Influences
Sell-side targets imply +64.7% upside over 12 months
Long-term trend bullish (price vs 200-day SMA)
Macro-economic sensitivity to interest rate and inflation shifts
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Peer Comparison
AMZNTSLAHD
Whystock Valuation Model
Anchored to each ticker's own 5-year median trailing P/E, tilted by current ROE and growth. Fair P/E = own median P/E + (ROE × 10) + (max(revenue growth, earnings growth) × 15), capped at ±30% around the historical anchor. Fair Value = (Current Price ÷ Trailing P/E) × Fair P/E. Premium compounders like COST/MSFT are judged against their own multi-year norm rather than a sector median. Falls back to the sector-anchored formula (Tech ≈ 28, Comm Services ≈ 24, Utilities ≈ 18, Financials ≈ 14, etc.) for recent IPOs and tickers with insufficient history (< 24 monthly samples). Result is a normalised multiple gauge — not a price target.
Current Price$4.25
Potential Downside
0%
Whystock Fair Value$4.25
Price
UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Simplified model based on P/E and ROE. Not a substitute for full valuation analysis. Data may be delayed. See our Terms.
Fundamentals
Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, je...
Market Cap
Total dollar market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock (Price * Shares).
$237.00M
P/E Ratio
Priced for growth. Investors expect sustained double-digit expansion.
-
Beta
High-beta play. Expect amplified moves vs. the broad market.
-
Div Yield
Low to zero yield. Return is entirely dependent on price appreciation.
0.00%
ROE
Average efficiency. Growth may require heavy reinvestment.
-62.10%
Volume
Today's trading volume
540,449
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