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FWRG
$10.26-0.08 (-0.77%)
After Hours$10.26+0.00 (+0.00%)· Last close Jun 9
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States.
Historical Price
Price (Candle)
50-Day SMA
200-Day SMA
Whystock Brain
The Narrative
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in the Consumer Cyclical sector is trading at $10.26 with a market capitalization of $649M. Wall Street consensus targets $19.45 (11 analysts), implying a +89.6% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently near its 52-week low of $9.97, remaining 31.3% below its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 4/9 shows mixed financial quality, Altman Z in the distress zone. Risk note: MACD remains below its signal line. The Whystock Score of 50/100 suggests a balanced risk-reward profile.
Ecosystem Influences
Sell-side targets imply +89.6% upside over 12 months
Long-term trend bearish (price vs 200-day SMA)
Macro-economic sensitivity to interest rate and inflation shifts
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Peer Comparison
AMZNTSLAHD
Whystock Valuation Model
Anchored to each ticker's own 5-year median trailing P/E, tilted by current ROE and growth. Fair P/E = own median P/E + (ROE × 10) + (max(revenue growth, earnings growth) × 15), capped at ±30% around the historical anchor. Fair Value = (Current Price ÷ Trailing P/E) × Fair P/E. Premium compounders like COST/MSFT are judged against their own multi-year norm rather than a sector median. Falls back to the sector-anchored formula (Tech ≈ 28, Comm Services ≈ 24, Utilities ≈ 18, Financials ≈ 14, etc.) for recent IPOs and tickers with insufficient history (< 24 monthly samples). Result is a normalised multiple gauge — not a price target.
Current Price$10.26
Potential Upside
50.7%
Whystock Fair Value$15.47
Price
UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Simplified model based on P/E and ROE. Not a substitute for full valuation analysis. Data may be delayed. See our Terms.
Analyst Consensus11 analysts
Mean target$19.45+89.6%
Range$17.00 – $22.00
Fundamentals
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States. The company was formerly known as AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to First Watch...
Market Cap
Total dollar market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock (Price * Shares).
$649.12M
P/E Ratio
Priced for growth. Investors expect sustained double-digit expansion.
37.61
Beta
High-beta play. Expect amplified moves vs. the broad market.
1.12
Div Yield
Low to zero yield. Return is entirely dependent on price appreciation.
0.00%
ROE
Average efficiency. Growth may require heavy reinvestment.
2.80%
Volume
Today's trading volume
1.24M
Recent News
First Watch appoints CFO
Ashlee Weisser, who has worked at First Watch since 2023, takes over for the retiring Mel Hope.
How The Narrative On First Watch Restaurant Group (FWRG) Is Shifting With New Analyst Targets
The fair value per share for First Watch Restaurant Group is now set at US$19.45, compared with the prior US$18.73, a modest 3.9% revision that has sharpened attention on how the stock is being valued today. This shift comes alongside mixed analyst commentary, with some firms trimming price targets by US$1 to US$2, while one has initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a US$17 target. As you read on, you will see how these differing views shape the evolving story around First Watch and what...
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