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$476.98+18.17 (+3.96%)
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation in the Energy sector is trading at $476.98 with a market capitalization of $103.6B. Wall Street consensus targets $415.39 (18 analysts), implying a -12.9% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently near its 52-week high of $477.73, remaining 76.3% above its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 7/9 indicates strong financial quality, Altman Z in the safe zone. The Whystock Score of 100/100 reflects bullish alignment across trend, valuation and analyst targets.
| Metric (USD) | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $51.99B↑ | $34.20B↑ | $32.57B↓ | $34.81B↑ | $33.80B |
| Gross Profit | $8.09B↑ | $2.13B↓ | $2.88B↑ | $2.77B↓ | $2.98B |
| Operating Income | $6.98B↑ | $1.04B↓ | $1.85B↑ | $1.67B↓ | $1.90B |
| Net Income | $5.14B↑ | $511.00M↓ | $1.53B↑ | $1.37B↑ | $1.22B |
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining...
Academic risk and quality models computed from MPC's own filings and price history, not from analyst opinion.
Strong on 7 of 9 fundamental-health tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency.
Altman Z above the 2.99 safe threshold, so the model puts bankruptcy risk in its lowest band.
Beneish M below the -1.78 flag threshold, so the earnings-manipulation model finds nothing unusual in the accruals and margin trends.
Share of earnings coming from accruals rather than cash. Higher values historically precede weaker future returns.
Hidden Markov model fitted to two years of returns, separating bull, bear and sideways states by their own drift and volatility.
GARCH(1,1) 30-day annualised forecast, below the current 35.5% reading.
Fama-French 5-factor market beta. The five factors explain 10% of this stock's return variance; the rest is idiosyncratic.
The stock’s own historical valuation anchor, which is a fairer comparison than a sector average for a company with a persistent premium or discount.
Model inputs as of 2026-10-13.