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OSG
$5.55+0.10 (+1.83%)
After Hours$5.55+0.00 (+0.00%)· Last close Jun 9
Octave Specialty Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, primarily engages in the specialty property and casualty insurance business in the United States and the United Kingdom.
Historical Price
Price (Candle)
50-Day SMA
200-Day SMA
Whystock Brain
The Narrative
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. in the Financial Services sector is trading at $5.55 with a market capitalization of $233M. Wall Street consensus targets $15.33 (3 analysts), implying a +176.3% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently 47% below its 52-week high of $10.38, remaining 19.6% below its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 4/9 shows mixed financial quality, Altman Z in the distress zone. Risk note: MACD remains below its signal line. The Whystock Score of 50/100 suggests a balanced risk-reward profile.
Ecosystem Influences
Sell-side targets imply +176.3% upside over 12 months
Long-term trend bearish (price vs 200-day SMA)
Macro-economic sensitivity to interest rate and inflation shifts
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Peer Comparison
JPMBACGS
Whystock Valuation Model
Anchored to each ticker's own 5-year median trailing P/E, tilted by current ROE and growth. Fair P/E = own median P/E + (ROE × 10) + (max(revenue growth, earnings growth) × 15), capped at ±30% around the historical anchor. Fair Value = (Current Price ÷ Trailing P/E) × Fair P/E. Premium compounders like COST/MSFT are judged against their own multi-year norm rather than a sector median. Falls back to the sector-anchored formula (Tech ≈ 28, Comm Services ≈ 24, Utilities ≈ 18, Financials ≈ 14, etc.) for recent IPOs and tickers with insufficient history (< 24 monthly samples). Result is a normalised multiple gauge — not a price target.
Current Price$5.55
Potential Downside
0%
Whystock Fair Value$5.55
Price
UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Simplified model based on P/E and ROE. Not a substitute for full valuation analysis. Data may be delayed. See our Terms.
Analyst Consensus3 analysts
Mean target$15.33+176.3%
Range$12.00 – $19.00
Fundamentals
Octave Specialty Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, primarily engages in the specialty property and casualty insurance business in the United States and the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments, Specialty Property and Casualty Insuranc...
Market Cap
Total dollar market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock (Price * Shares).
$232.72M
P/E Ratio
Priced for growth. Investors expect sustained double-digit expansion.
-
Beta
Defensive asset. Lower volatility than the S&P 500.
0.79
Div Yield
Low to zero yield. Return is entirely dependent on price appreciation.
0.00%
ROE
Average efficiency. Growth may require heavy reinvestment.
-31.17%
Volume
Today's trading volume
369,695
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