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PGR
$195.96-2.46 (-1.24%)
Pre-Market$197.31+1.35 (+0.69%)· Last close May 13
The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States.
Historical Price
Price (Candle)
50-Day SMA
200-Day SMA
Whystock Brain
The Narrative
The Progressive Corporation in the Financial Services sector is trading at $195.96. Wall Street consensus targets $230.81 (21 analysts), implying a +17.8% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently near its 52-week low of $191.75, remaining 7.8% below its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 5/9 shows mixed financial quality. Risk note: MACD remains below its signal line. The Whystock Score of 80/100 reflects bullish alignment across trend, valuation and analyst targets.
Ecosystem Influences
Sell-side targets imply +17.8% upside over 12 months
Long-term trend bearish (price vs 200-day SMA)
Oversold momentum (RSI 30) — potential for technical mean-reversion
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Peer Comparison
JPMBACGS
Whystock Valuation Model
Sector + growth-aware fair-multiple estimate. Fair P/E = sector-anchor + (ROE × 25) + (max(revenue growth, earnings growth) × 30), capped at 1.6× sector. Fair Value = (Current Price ÷ Trailing P/E) × Fair P/E. The sector anchor (Tech ≈ 28, Comm Services ≈ 24, Utilities ≈ 18, Financials ≈ 14, etc.) keeps quality compounders from being mechanically penalized against utility multiples. Result is a normalised multiple gauge — not a price target.
Current Price$195.96
Potential Upside
114.4%
Whystock Fair Value$420.22
Price
UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Simplified model based on P/E and ROE. Not a substitute for full valuation analysis. Data may be delayed. See our Terms.
Analyst Consensus21 analysts
Hold
Mean target$230.81+17.8%
Range$190.00 – $325.00
Fundamentals
The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowne...
Market Cap
Total dollar market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock (Price * Shares).
$120.02B
P/E Ratio
Value territory. Trading at a high yield relative to earnings.
10.45
Beta
Defensive asset. Lower volatility than the S&P 500.
0.33
Div Yield
Strong income play. Yield provides a meaningful total return floor.
686.00%
ROE
Elite ROE. Management converts capital into profit efficiently.
34.40%
Volume
Today's trading volume
2.49M
Recent News
A Look At Progressive (PGR) Valuation After Solid Q1 2026 Results And Capital Return Updates
What triggered the latest focus on Progressive stock? Progressive (PGR) is back in focus after reporting solid fiscal Q1 2026 results, outlining revenue and net premiums written growth, and pairing that with a CFO transition, renewed buyback authorization, and a declared dividend. See our latest analysis for Progressive. Despite the solid Q1 update and confirmation of ongoing buybacks and dividends, Progressive’s share price has eased, with a 90 day share price return of 4.62% lower and a 1...
Does Progressive’s (PGR) CFO Transition and Buyback Plan Reveal a Deeper Capital Allocation Strategy?
In recent weeks, Progressive held its annual shareholder meeting, confirming a planned CFO transition for July 2026, re-electing its board, approving executive pay, ratifying PwC as auditor, renewing authorization to repurchase up to 25 million shares, and declaring a quarterly US$0.10 dividend for payment in July 2026. Alongside solid first-quarter 2026 results and multiple directors choosing to receive most or all of their compensation in restricted stock, these steps highlight...
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BMO Capital Maintains a Hold Rating on The Progressive Corporation (PGR)
The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) is one of the Most Undervalued High Quality Stocks to Buy Now. On May 5, Michael Zaremski from BMO Capital reiterated a Hold rating on the shares and raised the price target from $199.31 to $221. On the same day, Evercore ISI reiterated a Hold rating on shares with a price […]