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FWRG
$13.09-0.03 (-0.23%)
Market ClosedLast close May 1
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States.
Historical Price
Price (Candle)
50-Day SMA
200-Day SMA
Whystock Brain
The Narrative
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in the Consumer Cyclical sector is trading at $13.09. The stock is currently 33% below its 52-week high of $19.53, remaining 16.9% below its 200-day moving average. Technical signals show overbought RSI of 76 and bullish MACD crossover, explaining why FWRG maintains its current current market pressure. The Whystock Score of 10/100 signals elevated caution as indicators diverge.
Ecosystem Influences
Overbought levels (RSI 76) — risk of consolidation or pullback
Long-term trend bearish (Price vs 200-day SMA)
Macro-economic sensitivity to interest rate and inflation shifts
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Peer Comparison
AMZNTSLAHD
Whystock Valuation Model
Whystock fair value is estimated using a trailing P/E model adjusted for return on equity: Fair P/E = 18 + (ROE × 20). Fair Value = (Current Price ÷ Trailing P/E) × Fair P/E. A base P/E of 18 represents a typical market multiple, scaled upward for companies that earn high returns on equity. The result is a theoretical "normalised" price — not a price target or investment advice. Large deviations are common for high-growth or loss-making companies.
Current Price$13.09
Potential Downside
58.6%
Whystock Fair Value$5.42
Price
UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Simplified model based on P/E and ROE. Not a substitute for full valuation analysis. Data may be delayed. See our Terms.
Analyst Consensus12 analysts
Mean target$19.33+47.7%
Range$15.00 – $22.00
Fundamentals
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States. The company was formerly known as AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to First Watch...
Market Cap
Total dollar market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock (Price * Shares).
$835.95M
P/E Ratio
Priced for growth. Investors expect sustained double-digit expansion.
43.76
Beta
Defensive asset. Lower volatility than the S&P 500.
0.98
Div Yield
Low to zero yield. Return is entirely dependent on price appreciation.
0.00%
ROE
Average efficiency. Growth may require heavy reinvestment.
0.65%
Volume
Today's trading volume
831,576
Recent News
How The First Watch (FWRG) Narrative Is Shifting As Growth Plans Meet Lower Price Targets
The blended fair value estimate for First Watch Restaurant Group has edged down slightly from US$19.50 to about US$19.33 per share, putting a modest reset around what some analysts think the stock is worth today. That shift lines up with recent research where many firms are trimming price targets while still pointing to long term expansion plans and ongoing brand building efforts. As you read on, you will see how these evolving targets and narratives might shape the way you track this...
Dine Brands and First Watch Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know
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Jack in the Box, Portillo's, and First Watch Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after Iran announced the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which triggered a sharp drop in crude oil prices and signaled an easing of inflationary pressures on operating margins.
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