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FWRG
$12.87-0.23 (-1.72%)
Market OpenUpdated 11:08 AM EDT
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States.
Historical Price
Price (Candle)
50-Day SMA
200-Day SMA
Whystock Brain
The Narrative
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in the Consumer Cyclical sector is trading at $12.87. The stock is currently 34% below its 52-week high of $19.53, remaining 18.3% below its 200-day moving average. Technical signals show neutral RSI of 68 and bullish MACD crossover, explaining why FWRG maintains its current current market pressure. The Whystock Score of 30/100 signals elevated caution as indicators diverge.
Ecosystem Influences
Overbought levels (RSI 68) — risk of consolidation or pullback
Long-term trend bearish (Price vs 200-day SMA)
Macro-economic sensitivity to interest rate and inflation shifts
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Peer Comparison
AMZNTSLAHD
Whystock Valuation Model
Whystock fair value is estimated using a trailing P/E model adjusted for return on equity: Fair P/E = 18 + (ROE × 20). Fair Value = (Current Price ÷ Trailing P/E) × Fair P/E. A base P/E of 18 represents a typical market multiple, scaled upward for companies that earn high returns on equity. The result is a theoretical "normalised" price — not a price target or investment advice. Large deviations are common for high-growth or loss-making companies.
Current Price$12.87
Potential Downside
58.6%
Whystock Fair Value$5.33
Price
UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Simplified model based on P/E and ROE. Not a substitute for full valuation analysis. Data may be delayed. See our Terms.
Analyst Consensus12 analysts
Mean target$19.33+50.3%
Range$15.00 – $22.00
Fundamentals
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States. The company was formerly known as AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to First Watch...
Market Cap
Total dollar market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock (Price * Shares).
$835.95M
P/E Ratio
Priced for growth. Investors expect sustained double-digit expansion.
43.76
Beta
Defensive asset. Lower volatility than the S&P 500.
0.98
Div Yield
Low to zero yield. Return is entirely dependent on price appreciation.
0.00%
ROE
Average efficiency. Growth may require heavy reinvestment.
0.65%
Volume
Today's trading volume
182,289
Recent News
America’s Fastest-Growing Breakfast Chain Has Fans and Haters
(Bloomberg) -- First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. is growing faster than any other sit-down chain in the US, betting big on breakfast at a time when competitors are struggling to attract early risers. Wall Street analysts love the stock.Most Read from BloombergBeijing Tells China Firms to Ignore US Sanctions on RefinersChina’s Unprecedented Defiance of US Sanctions Triggers ShowdownFormer NYC Mayor Giuliani in Critical Condition, Trump SaysSupertanker Appears to Have Crossed the Strait of HormuzW
First Watch (FWRG) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect
Breakfast restaurant chain First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) will be reporting earnings this Tuesday morning. Here’s what you need to know.
How The First Watch (FWRG) Narrative Is Shifting As Growth Plans Meet Lower Price Targets
The blended fair value estimate for First Watch Restaurant Group has edged down slightly from US$19.50 to about US$19.33 per share, putting a modest reset around what some analysts think the stock is worth today. That shift lines up with recent research where many firms are trimming price targets while still pointing to long term expansion plans and ongoing brand building efforts. As you read on, you will see how these evolving targets and narratives might shape the way you track this...
Dine Brands and First Watch Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after President Trump extended a ceasefire with Iran. The positive sentiment was reflected across the board, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq 100 all showing significant gains.
Jack in the Box, Portillo's, and First Watch Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after Iran announced the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which triggered a sharp drop in crude oil prices and signaled an easing of inflationary pressures on operating margins.