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MRLN
$7.43-0.46 (-5.83%)
Market ClosedLast close Jun 9
Merlin, Inc.
Historical Price
Price (Candle)
50-Day SMA
200-Day SMA
Whystock Brain
The Narrative
Merlin, Inc. in the Industrials sector is trading at $7.43. Wall Street consensus targets $13.00 (2 analysts), implying a +75.0% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently near its 52-week low of $5.78, remaining 27.2% below its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 2/9 flags weak fundamentals, Altman Z in the distress zone. The Whystock Score of 45/100 suggests a balanced risk-reward profile.
Ecosystem Influences
Sell-side targets imply +75.0% upside over 12 months
Long-term trend bearish (price vs 200-day SMA)
Macro-economic sensitivity to interest rate and inflation shifts
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Peer Comparison
Whystock Valuation Model
Anchored to each ticker's own 5-year median trailing P/E, tilted by current ROE and growth. Fair P/E = own median P/E + (ROE × 10) + (max(revenue growth, earnings growth) × 15), capped at ±30% around the historical anchor. Fair Value = (Current Price ÷ Trailing P/E) × Fair P/E. Premium compounders like COST/MSFT are judged against their own multi-year norm rather than a sector median. Falls back to the sector-anchored formula (Tech ≈ 28, Comm Services ≈ 24, Utilities ≈ 18, Financials ≈ 14, etc.) for recent IPOs and tickers with insufficient history (< 24 monthly samples). Result is a normalised multiple gauge — not a price target.
Current Price$7.43
Potential Downside
0%
Whystock Fair Value$7.43
Price
UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Simplified model based on P/E and ROE. Not a substitute for full valuation analysis. Data may be delayed. See our Terms.
Fundamentals
Merlin, Inc. develops AI-powered autonomous flight software and systems for aircraft in the United States and New Zealand. The company provides an aircraft-agnostic, AI-powered software platform that enables autonomous flight for both legacy and next...
Market Cap
Total dollar market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock (Price * Shares).
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P/E Ratio
Priced for growth. Investors expect sustained double-digit expansion.
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Beta
High-beta play. Expect amplified moves vs. the broad market.
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Div Yield
Low to zero yield. Return is entirely dependent on price appreciation.
0.00%
ROE
Elite ROE. Management converts capital into profit efficiently.
83.80%
Volume
Today's trading volume
4.98M
Recent News
A Look At Merlin (MRLN) Valuation After C-130J Autonomy Design Review Milestone
Merlin (MRLN) has drawn fresh attention after confirming completion of the Critical Design Review for its AI-powered C-130J autonomy program with U.S. Special Operations Command, a key step before aircraft integration and formal testing. See our latest analysis for Merlin. The C-130J autonomy milestone arrives as Merlin’s share price reacts sharply, with a 1-day share price return of 19.78% and 7-day share price return of 6.83%. However, the 90-day share price return is down 17.94% and the...
Is Merlin (MRLN) Using the Jefferies Defense Summit Spotlight to Redefine Its Competitive Edge?
Merlin, Inc. recently presented at the Jefferies Defense Technology Summit 2026 on June 4, highlighting its latest developments in defense technology solutions. This conference appearance can be important because it places Merlin directly in front of defense-focused investors and potential partners, potentially shaping perceptions of its role in next-generation defense capabilities. With Merlin’s defense technology profile in focus after the Jefferies summit, we’ll now examine how this...
What to Know About Pasqal, the Quantum Start-Up Going Public Soon
Pasqal, the French quantum computing start-up, plans to go public through a blank-check merger in the second half of the year.
Market Insights on Merlin Labs (MRLN)
Crossroads Capital LLC, an investment management firm, published its first-quarter 2026 investor letter. You can download a copy here. The Fund increased by 4.2% net of fees and expenses during the quarter. Since its founding, the fund has compounded at a gross rate of 21.3% and a net rate of 17.1%. By the end of […]
Merlin, Inc. Common Stock Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Merlin, Inc. Common Stock (NASDAQ:MRLN) used its first earnings call as a public company to outline its autonomous flight strategy, highlight the launch of its first named product, Condor, and report first-quarter 2026 financial results that reflected higher operating investment and significant non-