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PGR
$199.31-1.97 (-0.98%)
Market ClosedLast close May 1
The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States.
Historical Price
Price (Candle)
50-Day SMA
200-Day SMA
Whystock Brain
The Narrative
The Progressive Corporation in the Financial Services sector is trading at $199.31. The stock is currently near its 52-week low of $192.02, remaining 6.8% below its 200-day moving average. Technical signals show neutral RSI of 50 and bearish MACD signal, explaining why PGR maintains its current current market pressure. The Whystock Score of 45/100 suggests a balanced risk-reward profile.
Ecosystem Influences
Neutral momentum (RSI 50) — price action in range
Long-term trend bearish (Price vs 200-day SMA)
Macro-economic sensitivity to interest rate and inflation shifts
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Peer Comparison
JPMBACGS
Whystock Valuation Model
Whystock fair value is estimated using a trailing P/E model adjusted for return on equity: Fair P/E = 18 + (ROE × 20). Fair Value = (Current Price ÷ Trailing P/E) × Fair P/E. A base P/E of 18 represents a typical market multiple, scaled upward for companies that earn high returns on equity. The result is a theoretical "normalised" price — not a price target or investment advice. Large deviations are common for high-growth or loss-making companies.
Current Price$199.31
Potential Upside
138.2%
Whystock Fair Value$474.73
Price
UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Simplified model based on P/E and ROE. Not a substitute for full valuation analysis. Data may be delayed. See our Terms.
Analyst Consensus21 analysts
Hold
Mean target$230.14+15.5%
Range$190.00 – $312.00
Fundamentals
The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowne...
Market Cap
Total dollar market value of a company's outstanding shares of stock (Price * Shares).
$120.02B
P/E Ratio
Value territory. Trading at a high yield relative to earnings.
10.45
Beta
Defensive asset. Lower volatility than the S&P 500.
0.33
Div Yield
Strong income play. Yield provides a meaningful total return floor.
686.00%
ROE
Elite ROE. Management converts capital into profit efficiently.
34.40%
Volume
Today's trading volume
1.36M
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Wondering if Progressive at around US$200 a share is starting to look attractive, or if the price still runs ahead of the underlying value. The stock's recent performance is mixed, with a 1% decline over the last week, a 0.4% decline over the last month, a 5.4% decline year to date, and a 24.2% decline over the last year, set against a 75.6% return over three years and a 116.2% return over five years. Recent coverage has focused on Progressive as one of the major listed US insurers, with...
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